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Excelsior W vs NAC Breda W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Netherlands - Eredivisie Women logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eredivisie Women Regular Season - 18 Stadion Woudestein· Rotterdam Wednesday, April 22, 2026 16:45
Excelsior W logo Excelsior W PPG 0.13
2-0 HIT CS5
NAC Breda W logo NAC Breda W PPG 0.13
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Excelsior W face NAC Breda W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Excelsior W a 52% chance, the draw 21% and NAC Breda W 27%, so Excelsior W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Excelsior W and 1.4 for NAC Breda W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Excelsior W are averaging 0.13 points per game versus 0.13 for NAC Breda W. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 21.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 27.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 45.7% Odds: —
BTTS 66.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior W
2.04
NAC Breda W
1.44

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.13), Away POOR (0.13)

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