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Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 00:00

Huracan

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Riestra

PPG 0.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.2%0-18.7%0-21.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.1%1-110.0%1-22.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.8%2-15.7%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.2%3-12.2%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 47.6% 2.10 +0.8%

Draw 31.2% 38.2% 2.62 -18.3%

Away win 20.8% 25.0% 4.00 -10.1%

Over 2.5 34.5% 27.8% 3.60 +24.2%

Over 3.5 15.2% 12.5% 8.00 +13.0%

BTTS 43.2% 38.2% 2.62 +13.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Away O1.5 11.1% 16.7% 6.00 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob43.2%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 24.1%

#2 0–0✓ 21.2%

#3 0–1 8.7%

#4 2–0 13.8%

#5 1–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracan1.1

Deportivo Riestra0.4

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACAN · PPG 1.70

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA · PPG 0.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huracan (H) 48.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +0.8%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -18.3%

Deportivo Riestra (A) 20.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracan face Deportivo Riestra in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracan a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Deportivo Riestra 21%, so Huracan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Huracan and 0.4 for Deportivo Riestra (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracan are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.30 for Deportivo Riestra. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +24.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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