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Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 19:00

Atletico Tucuman

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Instituto Cordoba

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-113.9%0-25.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.6%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.9%2-16.3%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.5%3-12.0%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 37.6% 2.66 -4.0%

Draw 34.0% 33.8% 2.96 +0.6%

Away win 29.9% 35.7% 2.80 -9.8%

Over 2.5 34.5% 38.5% 2.60 -10.3%

Over 3.5 18.2% 19.0% 5.25 -2.7%

BTTS 43.6% 47.6% 2.10 -8.4%

Home O1.5 30.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Away O1.5 22.5% 31.3% 3.20 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.6%

D 34% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.4%

#2 1–0 16.6%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1 13.9%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Tucuman1.0

Instituto Cordoba0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO TUCUMAN · PPG 1.20

INSTITUTO CORDOBA · PPG 1.27

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.15, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Tucuman (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -4.0%

Draw 34.0%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV +0.6%

Instituto Cordoba (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Tucuman face Instituto Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Tucuman a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Instituto Cordoba 30%, so Atletico Tucuman are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Atletico Tucuman and 0.8 for Instituto Cordoba (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Tucuman are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.27 for Instituto Cordoba. This match finished 0-0.

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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