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Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:00

Talleres Remedios

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Excursionistas

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.7%0-114.4%0-25.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.0%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.7%2-15.9%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.3%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 48.8% 2.05 -25.8%

Draw 33.9% 35.7% 2.80 -5.1%

Away win 29.9% 26.7% 3.75 +7.3%

Over 2.5 37.5% 40.0% 2.50 -6.3%

Over 3.5 18.4% 22.2% 4.50 -10.3%

BTTS 47.6% 46.5% 2.15 +2.3%

Home O1.5 30.6% 38.2% 2.62 -19.8%

Away O1.5 17.9% 25.0% 4.00 -17.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

D 34% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.7%

#2 1–0 17.0%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 1–1 13.1%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Remedios0.9

Excursionistas0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 1.67

EXCURSIONISTAS · PPG 1.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 1.68 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Remedios (H) 36.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -25.8%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -5.1%

Excursionistas (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Remedios face Excursionistas in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Remedios a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Excursionistas 30%, so Talleres Remedios are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Talleres Remedios and 0.8 for Excursionistas (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Remedios are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.67 for Excursionistas. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +31.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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