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Flandria vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:00

Flandria

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Liniers

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-113.7%0-25.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.6%1-113.4%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.6%2-16.5%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.5%3-12.1%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 40.8% 2.45 -11.3%

Draw 33.9% 40.0% 2.50 -15.3%

Away win 29.9% 31.3% 3.20 -2.6%

Over 2.5 37.8% 33.3% 3.00 +13.4%

Over 3.5 18.3% 16.7% 6.00 +5.9%

BTTS 47.6% 40.8% 2.45 +16.6%

Home O1.5 30.6% 29.4% 3.40 +4.0%

Away O1.5 22.8% 26.7% 3.75 -8.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

D 34% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0✓ 15.6%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria1.0

Liniers0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.27

LINIERS · PPG 1.13

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 1.83 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 36.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -11.3%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -15.3%

Liniers (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face Liniers in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Liniers 30%, so Flandria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Flandria and 0.9 for Liniers (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.13 for Liniers. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +22.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Flandria vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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