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Radnik Hadžići vs TOŠK Tešanj Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Radnik Hadžići logo
Radnik Hadžići
PPG 1.53 · HOME
LAST 5
DWL ··
2 – 0
FULL TIME
TOŠK Tešanj logo
TOŠK Tešanj
PPG 1.17 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-19.6%0-24.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.1%1-112.8%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.5%2-18.6%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.2%3-13.9%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.4%
Draw 32.9%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Over 3.5 22.0%
BTTS 47.6%
Home O1.5 37.8%
Away O1.5 23.3%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -72.0%
Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 10.5%
#3 1–0 14.1%
#4 2–0 9.5%
#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnik Hadžići1.3
TOŠK Tešanj0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNIK HADŽIĆI · PPG 1.53

TOŠK TEŠANJ · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.43, combined xG 2.25 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnik Hadžići (H) 43.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
TOŠK Tešanj (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnik Hadžići face TOŠK Tešanj in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnik Hadžići a 43% chance, the draw 33% and TOŠK Tešanj 24%, so Radnik Hadžići are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Radnik Hadžići and 0.9 for TOŠK Tešanj (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnik Hadžići are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.17 for TOŠK Tešanj. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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