Today / England - Championship / Swansea vs Sheffield Utd

Swansea vs Sheffield Utd Prediction— England - Championship

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Swansea

PPG 1.63 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWW ·

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Sheffield Utd

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.5%0-24.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.5%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-19.1%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.3%3-14.4%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 42.7% 2.34 +3.2%

Draw 32.1% 31.3% 3.20 +2.7%

Away win 23.8% 32.8% 3.05 -16.4%

Over 2.5 44.8% 54.1% 1.85 -17.1%

Over 3.5 28.1% 32.3% 3.10 -7.7%

BTTS 49.1% 59.9% 1.67 -18.0%

Home O1.5 40.0% 46.5% 2.15 -14.0%

Away O1.5 32.5% 39.2% 2.55 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0✓ 8.2%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Swansea1.5

Sheffield Utd1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SWANSEA · PPG 1.63

SHEFFIELD UTD · PPG 1.34

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.42, combined xG 2.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Swansea (H) 44.1%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV +3.2%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +2.7%

Sheffield Utd (A) 23.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Swansea face Sheffield Utd in England - Championship on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Swansea a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Sheffield Utd 24%, so Swansea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Swansea and 1.0 for Sheffield Utd (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Swansea are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.34 for Sheffield Utd. This match finished 0-0.

Swansea vs Sheffield Utd Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Championship Predictions