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Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 12:00

Gareji Sagarejo

PPG 2.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Gori

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-11.5%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.6%1-12.9%1-20.2%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-024.0%2-12.8%2-20.2%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.7%3-11.8%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-012.0%4+-11.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.6% — — —

Draw 15.7% — — —

Away win 1.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.3% — — —

Over 3.5 15.6% — — —

BTTS 9.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.1 BTTS prob9.6%

H 83% / xG 2.0-0.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 10%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 24.6%

#2 2–0 24.0%

#3 3–0 15.7%

#4 0–0 12.6%

#5 4–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gareji Sagarejo2.0

Gori0.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.3% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GAREJI SAGAREJO · PPG 2.50

GORI · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gareji Sagarejo (H) 82.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gori (A) 1.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gareji Sagarejo face Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gareji Sagarejo a 83% chance, the draw 16% and Gori 2%, so Gareji Sagarejo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Gareji Sagarejo and 0.1 for Gori (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 10% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gareji Sagarejo are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Gori. This match finished 1-0.

Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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