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Sandviken W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Sandviken W

PPG 0.29 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLW

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Häcken II W

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.6%0-25.4%0-33.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.4%1-110.4%1-28.5%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.6%3-14.3%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.4%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 46.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–2 5.4%

#5 2–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken W1.6

Häcken II W1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN W · PPG 0.29

HÄCKEN II W · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken W (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Häcken II W (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken W face Häcken II W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken W a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Häcken II W 42%, so Häcken II W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sandviken W and 1.6 for Häcken II W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken W are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 0.14 for Häcken II W. This match finished 2-3.

Sandviken W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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