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Umeå W vs Gamla Upsala W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Umeå W

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Gamla Upsala W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.2%0-23.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.9%1-110.2%1-25.8%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.6%3-16.4%3-23.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.8%4+-22.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0✓ 8.9%

#5 1–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Umeå W1.9

Gamla Upsala W1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UMEÅ W · PPG 1.57

GAMLA UPSALA W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Umeå W (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gamla Upsala W (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Umeå W face Gamla Upsala W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Umeå W a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Gamla Upsala W 24%, so Umeå W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Umeå W and 1.1 for Gamla Upsala W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Umeå W are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.33 for Gamla Upsala W. This match finished 1-0.

Umeå W vs Gamla Upsala W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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