Today / South Korea - K League 1 / FC Anyang vs FC Seoul

FC Anyang vs FC Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:30

FC Anyang

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

0 – 7

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

FC Seoul

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 57.9% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a clear edge.

+10.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-112.4%0-211.2%0-36.8%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.6%2-14.7%2-24.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.4%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.2% 25.6% 3.90 -15.1%

Draw 22.9% 29.0% 3.45 -12.6%

Away win 57.9% 52.6% 1.90 +10.0%

Over 2.5 53.9% 51.3% 1.95 +5.1%

Over 3.5 31.2% 29.4% 3.40 +6.1%

BTTS 53.0% 56.5% 1.77 -6.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 31.3% 3.20 -2.1%

Away O1.5 48.5% 51.3% 1.95 -5.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -23.8%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-7

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob53.0%

A 58% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.2%

#2 1–1 10.8%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Anyang0.9

FC Seoul1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANYANG · PPG 1.00

FC SEOUL · PPG 2.25

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.94 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Anyang (H) 19.2%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -15.1%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -12.6%

FC Seoul (A) 57.9%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV +10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Anyang face FC Seoul in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Anyang a 19% chance, the draw 23% and FC Seoul 58%, so FC Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for FC Anyang and 1.8 for FC Seoul (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Anyang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.25 for FC Seoul. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 0-7.

FC Anyang vs FC Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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