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Bulls Academy vs Canterbury Bankstown Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 07:00

Bulls Academy

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Canterbury Bankstown

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 69.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.0%0-24.1%0-32.8%0-4+2.3%1 1-03.7%1-17.6%1-27.7%1-35.3%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.5%2-17.1%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.2%3-14.5%3-24.6%3-33.1%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.3%4+-23.3%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 43.5% 2.30 -13.5%

Draw 21.7% 29.4% 3.40 -15.7%

Away win 40.7% 40.0% 2.50 +1.8%

Over 2.5 67.3% 69.4% 1.44 -3.1%

Over 3.5 47.6% 48.8% 2.05 -2.4%

BTTS 69.0% 73.5% 1.36 -6.2%

Home O1.5 54.9% 56.5% 1.77 -2.8%

Away O1.5 55.2% 54.1% 1.85 +2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.0%

A 41% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.1%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulls Academy1.9

Canterbury Bankstown2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLS ACADEMY · PPG 1.31

CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN · PPG 1.57

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bulls Academy (H) 37.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -13.5%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.7%

Canterbury Bankstown (A) 40.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulls Academy face Canterbury Bankstown in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulls Academy a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Canterbury Bankstown 41%, so Canterbury Bankstown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bulls Academy and 2.0 for Canterbury Bankstown (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulls Academy are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.57 for Canterbury Bankstown. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-3.

Bulls Academy vs Canterbury Bankstown Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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