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Dulwich Hill vs Inter Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 07:00

Dulwich Hill

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Inter Lions

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.5%0-24.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.1%1-110.7%1-27.9%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.8%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.2%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.9%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 40.0% 2.50 +8.3%

Draw 22.8% 30.3% 3.30 -14.9%

Away win 33.9% 43.5% 2.30 -22.0%

Over 2.5 63.1% 65.4% 1.53 -3.5%

Over 3.5 39.4% 44.4% 2.25 -11.3%

BTTS 62.9% 69.4% 1.44 -9.4%

Home O1.5 47.4% 50.5% 1.98 -6.2%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.3% 1.84 -24.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.9%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–0 5.9%

#5 1–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dulwich Hill1.6

Inter Lions1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DULWICH HILL · PPG 1.07

INTER LIONS · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dulwich Hill (H) 43.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +8.3%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -14.9%

Inter Lions (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dulwich Hill face Inter Lions in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dulwich Hill a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Inter Lions 34%, so Dulwich Hill are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dulwich Hill and 1.5 for Inter Lions (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dulwich Hill are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.86 for Inter Lions. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Dulwich Hill vs Inter Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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