Today / Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso / Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Cariari Pococi
Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Cariari Pococi Prediction— Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso
Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 20:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%
Form & verdict
FUTBOL CONSULTANTS MORAVIA · PPG 1.35
CARIARI POCOCI · PPG 1.38
xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Futbol Consultants Moravia face Cariari Pococi in Costa-Rica - Liga de Ascenso on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Futbol Consultants Moravia a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Cariari Pococi 29%, so Futbol Consultants Moravia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 1.1 for Cariari Pococi (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Futbol Consultants Moravia are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.38 for Cariari Pococi. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 0-1.