West Brom PPG 1.43
Watford PPG 0.95West Brom face Watford in England - Championship on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Brom a 42% chance, the draw 29% and Watford 30%, so West Brom are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for West Brom and 1.0 for Watford (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Brom are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.95 for Watford. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.7%. This match finished 3-0.
Based on 46 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.95)