Oxford Utd vs Wrexham Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 44 Kassam Stadium· Oxford Tuesday, April 21, 2026 18:45

Oxford Utd PPG 1.24

0-1 HIT CS2

Wrexham PPG 1.48

Away· -2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Oxford Utd face Wrexham in England - Championship on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oxford Utd a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Wrexham 37%, so Wrexham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Oxford Utd and 1.2 for Wrexham (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oxford Utd are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.48 for Wrexham. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -7.5%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -10.6%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -2.5%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.5% Odds: 2.10 -8.6%

Over 3.5 22.5% Odds: 3.80 -14.5%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.80 -11.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Oxford Utd

1.19

Wrexham

1.23

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.24), Away AVERAGE (1.48)