Today / England - Championship / Leicester City vs Hull City

Leicester City vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

Regular Season - 44 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 18:45

Leicester City

PPG 1.24 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hull City

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.5%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.0%1-110.6%1-28.0%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 50.0% 2.00 -18.4%

Draw 23.6% 27.8% 3.60 -15.0%

Away win 35.6% 29.4% 3.40 +21.0%

Over 2.5 60.9% 57.8% 1.73 +5.4%

Over 3.5 38.6% 35.7% 2.80 +8.1%

BTTS 62.8% 61.7% 1.62 +1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -12.7%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.8%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 7.0%

#5 2–2✓ 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leicester City1.6

Hull City1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LEICESTER CITY · PPG 1.24

HULL CITY · PPG 1.62

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.24) vs Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Leicester City (H) 40.8%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -18.4%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -15.0%

Hull City (A) 35.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leicester City face Hull City in England - Championship on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leicester City a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Hull City 36%, so Leicester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Leicester City and 1.5 for Hull City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leicester City are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.62 for Hull City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Leicester City vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Championship Predictions