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Leicester City vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship logo England flag England - Championship Regular Season - 44 King Power Stadium· Leicester Tuesday, April 21, 2026 18:45
Leicester City logo Leicester City PPG 1.24
2-2 HIT CS5
Hull City logo Hull City PPG 1.62
Away· +21.0% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Leicester City face Hull City in England - Championship on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leicester City a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Hull City 36%, so Leicester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Leicester City and 1.5 for Hull City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leicester City are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.62 for Hull City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.8%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -18.4%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -15.0%
Away 35.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +21.0%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: 1.73 +5.4%
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: 2.80 +8.1%
BTTS 62.8% Odds: 1.62 +1.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester City
1.63
Hull City
1.51

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+21.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -1.0%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.24) vs Away GOOD (1.62)

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