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Elfsborg W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 15 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:30

Elfsborg W

PPG 2.14 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

KIF Örebro W

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.05 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-16.2%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.0%1-110.5%1-23.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-19.0%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.8%3-15.1%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-13.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.4% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 16.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 28.3% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 17.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.0%

#2 2–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elfsborg W1.7

KIF Örebro W0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ELFSBORG W · PPG 2.14

KIF ÖREBRO W · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.05 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Elfsborg W (H) 59.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KIF Örebro W (A) 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Elfsborg W face KIF Örebro W in Sweden - Elitettan on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elfsborg W a 59% chance, the draw 24% and KIF Örebro W 17%, so Elfsborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Elfsborg W and 0.7 for KIF Örebro W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elfsborg W are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.86 for KIF Örebro W. This match finished 0-2.

Elfsborg W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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