Today / USA - MLS / Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC

Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC Prediction— USA - MLS

Matchday 20 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 01:30

Colorado Rapids logo
Colorado Rapids
PPG 2.00 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWLW
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Los Angeles FC logo
Los Angeles FC
PPG 1.33 · AWAY
LAST 5
DLLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.4%0-24.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.6%1-112.3%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.0%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.8%3-14.4%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.5% 43.1% 2.32 +3.2%
Draw 26.5% 27.8% 3.60 -2.8%
Away win 29.0% 36.0% 2.78 -11.6%
Over 2.5 50.2% 58.8% 1.70 -14.7%
Over 3.5 29.9% 35.7% 2.80 -9.8%
BTTS 53.1% 63.7% 1.57 -16.6%
Home O1.5 40.0% 48.8% 2.05 -18.0%
Away O1.5 35.6% 43.5% 2.30 -18.1%

League track record

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 61%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -18.9%
Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–0 10.6%
#4 2–0 7.8%
#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Rapids1.5
Los Angeles FC1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO RAPIDS · PPG 2.00

LOS ANGELES FC · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Rapids (H) 44.5%
ODDS 2.32 · IMPLIED 43.1% EV +3.2%
Draw 26.5%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.8%
Los Angeles FC (A) 29.0%
ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -11.6%

Season Statistics average per match · 22 matches · 2026

Colorado Rapids ▾ lower is better Los Angeles FC

Attack

12.0
Shots
14.2
4.1
Shots on target
4.4
4.6
Shots off target
5.1
3.3
Blocked shots
4.7
8.1
Shots inside box
8.7
3.9
Shots outside box
5.5
34.1%
Shooting accuracy
31.2%
34.4%
Goals per shot on target
35.3%
1.41
Goals
1.57
1.39
xG for
1.39

Defence

11.0
Shots faced
12.4
3.9
Shots on target faced
3.7
1.27
Goals conceded
0.96
1.23
xG against
1.22
2.7
Goalkeeper saves
3.0

Control

56.0%
Possession
47.2%
491
Passes
493
430
Accurate passes
429
87.4%
Pass accuracy
86.9%
5.1
Corners
6.0
4.2
Corners faced
5.0
1.2
Offsides
1.7

Discipline

14.3
Fouls
11.3
2.7
Yellow cards
1.7
0.23
Red cards
0.00

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Rapids face Los Angeles FC in USA - MLS on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Rapids a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Los Angeles FC 29%, so Colorado Rapids are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Colorado Rapids and 1.2 for Los Angeles FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Rapids are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Los Angeles FC. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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