Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / The Town vs Los Angeles FC II
The Town vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 02:30
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 79 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 57% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%
Form & verdict
THE TOWN · PPG 1.60
LOS ANGELES FC II · PPG 0.73
xG gap +1.31 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
The Town face Los Angeles FC II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Town a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Los Angeles FC II 22%, so The Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for The Town and 1.0 for Los Angeles FC II (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Town are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.73 for Los Angeles FC II. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +29.1%. This match finished 3-2.