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Godoy Cruz Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 18:00

Godoy Cruz Res.

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vélez Sársfield Res.

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-115.2%0-211.4%0-35.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-08.0%1-112.0%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-03.2%2-14.7%2-23.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 49.0% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.0% — — —

BTTS 48.8% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 70%

ROI -2.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.8%

A 49% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 15.2%

#3 0–0 10.1%

#4 0–2 11.4%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz Res.0.8

Vélez Sársfield Res.1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ RES. · PPG 1.36

VÉLEZ SÁRSFIELD RES. · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz Res. (H) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vélez Sársfield Res. (A) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz Res. face Vélez Sársfield Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz Res. a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 49%, so Vélez Sársfield Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Godoy Cruz Res. and 1.5 for Vélez Sársfield Res. (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz Res. are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.91 for Vélez Sársfield Res..

Godoy Cruz Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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