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Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 18:00

Unión Santa Fe Res.

PPG 1.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Racing Club Res.

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-18.6%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.7%1-112.5%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.1%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.5%3-14.4%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 70%

ROI -2.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.1%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unión Santa Fe Res.1.4

Racing Club Res.1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÓN SANTA FE RES. · PPG 1.82

RACING CLUB RES. · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Unión Santa Fe Res. (H) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Racing Club Res. (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Unión Santa Fe Res. face Racing Club Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unión Santa Fe Res. a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Racing Club Res. 26%, so Unión Santa Fe Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Unión Santa Fe Res. and 1.0 for Racing Club Res. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unión Santa Fe Res. are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.79 for Racing Club Res..

Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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