Today / Kuwait - Division 1 / Sporty vs Khaitan

Sporty vs Khaitan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 20 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 17:15

Sporty logo
Sporty
PPG 0.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Khaitan logo
Khaitan
PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.92 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-120.5%0-214.6%0-37.0%0-4+3.4%1 1-07.3%1-110.5%1-27.5%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-01.9%2-12.7%2-21.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 14.0%
Draw 27.5%
Away win 58.5%
Over 2.5 41.2%
Over 3.5 21.1%
BTTS 44.6%
Home O1.5 29.3%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 8.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob44.6%

A 58% / xG 0.5-1.4 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 20.5%
#2 0–0 14.3%
#3 0–2 14.6%
#4 1–1 10.5%
#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporty0.5
Khaitan1.4

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTY · PPG 0.00

KHAITAN · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.92 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sporty (H) 14.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Khaitan (A) 58.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporty face Khaitan in Kuwait - Division 1 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporty a 14% chance, the draw 28% and Khaitan 59%, so Khaitan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Sporty and 1.4 for Khaitan (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporty are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.62 for Khaitan.

PredictVantage

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