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Yarmouk vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:25

Yarmouk

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Sulaibikhat

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.1%0-28.0%0-33.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.6%1-112.4%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.8%2-17.0%2-25.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.8%3-12.6%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 72%

ROI 8.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yarmouk1.1

Al Sulaibikhat1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

YARMOUK · PPG 1.75

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yarmouk (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Sulaibikhat (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yarmouk face Al Sulaibikhat in Kuwait - Division 1 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yarmouk a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Al Sulaibikhat 42%, so Al Sulaibikhat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Yarmouk and 1.5 for Al Sulaibikhat (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yarmouk are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.20 for Al Sulaibikhat.

Yarmouk vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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