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Khaitan vs Burgan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:25

Khaitan

PPG 0.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Burgan

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-113.6%0-27.3%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.4%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.2%2-16.7%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 44.3% — — —

Over 3.5 23.6% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 72%

ROI 8.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 0–1 13.6%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khaitan1.0

Burgan1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KHAITAN · PPG 0.70

BURGAN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.09, combined xG 2.08 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Khaitan (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Burgan (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Khaitan face Burgan in Kuwait - Division 1 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khaitan a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Burgan 35%, so Khaitan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Khaitan and 1.1 for Burgan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khaitan are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.00 for Burgan.

Khaitan vs Burgan Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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