Today / Kuwait - Division 1 / Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Sahel

Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Sahel Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 20 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 17:15

Al Sulaibikhat logo
Al Sulaibikhat
PPG 2.12 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Al Sahel logo
Al Sahel
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-115.1%0-210.1%0-34.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.5%1-112.7%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.0%2-15.4%2-23.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.1%3-11.5%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 31.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 41.6%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 49.9%
Home O1.5 30.2%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 8.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.9%

A 42% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–1 15.1%
#3 0–0 11.2%
#4 0–2 10.1%
#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sulaibikhat0.8
Al Sahel1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SULAIBIKHAT · PPG 2.12

AL SAHEL · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.50 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Sulaibikhat (H) 31.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Al Sahel (A) 41.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sulaibikhat face Al Sahel in Kuwait - Division 1 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sulaibikhat a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Al Sahel 42%, so Al Sahel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Sulaibikhat and 1.3 for Al Sahel (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sulaibikhat are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 3.00 for Al Sahel.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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