Today / Kuwait - Division 1 / Al Jazira vs Al Sahel

Al Jazira vs Al Sahel Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:25

Al Jazira

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Sahel

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-111.3%0-210.9%0-37.1%0-4+5.3%1 1-05.3%1-110.2%1-29.9%1-36.4%1-4+4.8%2 2-02.4%2-14.6%2-24.5%2-32.9%2-4+2.2%3 3-00.7%3-11.4%3-21.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 55.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 72%

ROI 8.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.5%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 0–2 10.9%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazira0.9

Al Sahel1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZIRA · PPG 1.62

AL SAHEL · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.03 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazira (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Sahel (A) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazira face Al Sahel in Kuwait - Division 1 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazira a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Al Sahel 55%, so Al Sahel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Jazira and 1.9 for Al Sahel (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazira are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 3.00 for Al Sahel.

Al Jazira vs Al Sahel Prediction— Kuwait - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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