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Deportes Rengo vs Lota Schwager Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Relegation Group · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 20:00

Deportes Rengo

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lota Schwager

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-112.9%0-26.7%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.9%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.8%2-17.1%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 22.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 32.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 25%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportes Rengo1.0

Lota Schwager1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 22.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTES RENGO · PPG 1.40

LOTA SCHWAGER · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportes Rengo (H) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lota Schwager (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportes Rengo face Lota Schwager in Chile - Segunda División on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Rengo a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Lota Schwager 35%, so Deportes Rengo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportes Rengo and 1.0 for Lota Schwager (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Rengo are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.33 for Lota Schwager.

Deportes Rengo vs Lota Schwager Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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