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Santiago City vs Municipal Salamanca Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Promotion Group · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 19:00

Santiago City

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Municipal Salamanca

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-117.0%0-28.3%0-32.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.4%1-113.1%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.2%2-15.1%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% — — —

Draw 33.4% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 38.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 26.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 25%

BTTS 25%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.4%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 17.0%

#4 1–0 13.4%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santiago City0.8

Municipal Salamanca1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTIAGO CITY · PPG 2.00

MUNICIPAL SALAMANCA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Santiago City (H) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Municipal Salamanca (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santiago City face Municipal Salamanca in Chile - Segunda División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santiago City a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Municipal Salamanca 35%, so Municipal Salamanca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Santiago City and 1.0 for Municipal Salamanca (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santiago City are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Municipal Salamanca.

Santiago City vs Municipal Salamanca Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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