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Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Atletico Avila FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 20:00

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico Avila FC

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.6%0-111.1%0-22.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.6%1-111.0%1-22.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-15.5%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.7%3-11.8%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.6%

#2 1–0 22.6%

#3 1–1 11.0%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 11.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz1.0

Atletico Avila FC0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO DE PUERTO LA CRUZ · PPG 1.88

ATLETICO AVILA FC · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico Avila FC (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz face Atletico Avila FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Atletico Avila FC 22%, so Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz and 0.5 for Atletico Avila FC (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.71 for Atletico Avila FC.

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Atletico Avila FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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