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Puerto Cabello II vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 23 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 19:30

Puerto Cabello II

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.15, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-110.1%0-25.7%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.4%1-113.0%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.3%2-18.3%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.1%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello II1.3

Yaracuyanos FC1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO II · PPG 1.40

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.15, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello II (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yaracuyanos FC (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello II face Yaracuyanos FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello II a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Yaracuyanos FC 30%, so Puerto Cabello II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Puerto Cabello II and 1.1 for Yaracuyanos FC (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello II are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.11 for Yaracuyanos FC.

Puerto Cabello II vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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