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Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Club Atletico Barinas Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 20:30

Fundación Lara Deportiva

PPG 2.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Club Atletico Barinas

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.6%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.5%1-16.9%1-23.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.6%2-19.1%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.5%3-18.0%3-24.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-110.0%4+-25.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.5% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 17.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 33.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.6%

H 66% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 2–0 8.6%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 3–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fundación Lara Deportiva2.6

Club Atletico Barinas1.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FUNDACIÓN LARA DEPORTIVA · PPG 2.22

CLUB ATLETICO BARINAS · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.57 for Home, form 2.22 vs 0.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fundación Lara Deportiva (H) 65.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Club Atletico Barinas (A) 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fundación Lara Deportiva face Club Atletico Barinas in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fundación Lara Deportiva a 66% chance, the draw 17% and Club Atletico Barinas 18%, so Fundación Lara Deportiva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Fundación Lara Deportiva and 1.1 for Club Atletico Barinas (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fundación Lara Deportiva are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.70 for Club Atletico Barinas.

Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Club Atletico Barinas Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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