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Zamora FC B vs Atletico el Vigia FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 19:30

Zamora FC B

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico el Vigia FC

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-14.0%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.2%1-18.8%1-23.4%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.9%3-17.0%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-16.4%4+-22.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 14.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 53.8% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 19.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.8%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamora FC B2.2

Atletico el Vigia FC0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMORA FC B · PPG 1.44

ATLETICO EL VIGIA FC · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zamora FC B (H) 64.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico el Vigia FC (A) 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamora FC B face Atletico el Vigia FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamora FC B a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Atletico el Vigia FC 15%, so Zamora FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Zamora FC B and 0.8 for Atletico el Vigia FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamora FC B are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.60 for Atletico el Vigia FC.

Zamora FC B vs Atletico el Vigia FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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