Today / Serbia - Super Liga / FK Partizan vs Radnicki 1923

FK Partizan vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 19:00

FK Partizan

PPG 1.63 · HOME

UPCOMING

Radnicki 1923

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-15.3%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.8%1-110.2%1-24.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.8%3-16.4%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-14.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% 61.0% 1.64 -12.4%

Draw 24.4% 27.0% 3.70 -5.8%

Away win 22.2% 20.8% 4.80 +3.9%

Over 2.5 53.7% 59.9% 1.67 -10.3%

Over 3.5 31.8% 38.2% 2.62 -16.7%

BTTS 53.1% 61.7% 1.62 -14.0%

Home O1.5 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Away O1.5 26.2% 31.3% 3.20 -9.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 53% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Partizan1.9

Radnicki 19230.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FK PARTIZAN · PPG 1.63

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 0.84

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Partizan (H) 53.4%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -12.4%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -5.8%

Radnicki 1923 (A) 22.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Partizan face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Partizan a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Radnicki 1923 22%, so FK Partizan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for FK Partizan and 0.9 for Radnicki 1923 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Partizan are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.84 for Radnicki 1923.

FK Partizan vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Serbia - Super Liga Predictions