Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan

Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:00

Radnicki NIS

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

FK Partizan

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-17.9%0-26.5%0-33.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.7%1-111.0%1-29.0%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-17.7%2-26.3%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.2%3-13.6%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 26.7% 3.75 +31.6%

Draw 24.0% 27.4% 3.65 -7.4%

Away win 40.8% 54.9% 1.82 -25.7%

Over 2.5 60.4% 58.8% 1.70 +2.7%

Over 3.5 36.8% 36.4% 2.75 +1.2%

BTTS 59.9% 62.5% 1.60 -4.2%

Home O1.5 42.4% 35.7% 2.80 +18.7%

Away O1.5 48.2% 56.5% 1.77 -14.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.9%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki NIS1.4

FK Partizan1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI NIS · PPG 1.29

FK PARTIZAN · PPG 1.79

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki NIS (H) 35.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +31.6%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -7.4%

FK Partizan (A) 40.8%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV -25.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki NIS face FK Partizan in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki NIS a 35% chance, the draw 24% and FK Partizan 41%, so FK Partizan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radnicki NIS and 1.6 for FK Partizan (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki NIS are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.79 for FK Partizan. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +25.8%.

Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Serbia - Super Liga Predictions