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Huracan Las Heras vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:30

Huracan Las Heras

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Antoniana

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.1%0-117.0%0-25.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.9%1-111.1%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.1%2-13.6%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.3%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 41.7% 2.40 -17.9%

Draw 37.0% 34.7% 2.88 +6.6%

Away win 28.8% 35.0% 2.86 -10.6%

Over 2.5 31.4% 41.3% 2.42 -24.0%

Over 3.5 12.8% 21.5% 4.65 -24.3%

BTTS 44.6% 49.3% 2.03 -9.5%

Home O1.5 30.2% 35.7% 2.80 -15.4%

Away O1.5 16.7% 31.1% 3.22 -27.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

D 37% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.1%

#2 1–0 18.9%

#3 0–1 17.0%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracan Las Heras0.7

Juventud Antoniana0.6

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.4% · O3.5 PROB 12.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACAN LAS HERAS · PPG 1.78

JUVENTUD ANTONIANA · PPG 1.44

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.06, combined xG 1.24 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Huracan Las Heras (H) 34.2%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -17.9%

Draw 37.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +6.6%

Juventud Antoniana (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV -10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracan Las Heras face Juventud Antoniana in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracan Las Heras a 34% chance, the draw 37% and Juventud Antoniana 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Huracan Las Heras and 0.6 for Juventud Antoniana (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracan Las Heras are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.44 for Juventud Antoniana.

Huracan Las Heras vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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