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Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Cipolletti Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:00

Kimberley Mar del Plata

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cipolletti

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-19.5%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.6%1-111.2%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.8%2-16.6%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.0%3-12.6%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 61.0% 1.64 -22.3%

Draw 31.5% 29.9% 3.35 +5.5%

Away win 21.1% 20.8% 4.80 +0.8%

Over 2.5 34.2% 49.5% 2.02 -30.9%

Over 3.5 17.7% 28.6% 3.50 -22.8%

BTTS 44.6% 51.0% 1.96 -12.6%

Home O1.5 31.7% 54.6% 1.83 -42.0%

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.6%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 1–0 21.6%

#3 1–1 11.2%

#4 2–0 12.8%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kimberley Mar del Plata1.2

Cipolletti0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KIMBERLEY MAR DEL PLATA · PPG 1.78

CIPOLLETTI · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kimberley Mar del Plata (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -22.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +5.5%

Cipolletti (A) 21.1%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kimberley Mar del Plata face Cipolletti in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kimberley Mar del Plata a 47% chance, the draw 32% and Cipolletti 21%, so Kimberley Mar del Plata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.5 for Cipolletti (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kimberley Mar del Plata are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.00 for Cipolletti.

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Cipolletti Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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