Today / Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur / Belgrano Zarate vs Barrancas UMET
Belgrano Zarate vs Barrancas UMET Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur
Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 37% / xG 0.5-0.7 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 45%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%
Form & verdict
BELGRANO ZARATE · PPG 1.50
BARRANCAS UMET · PPG 2.00
xG gap -0.16, combined xG 1.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Belgrano Zarate face Barrancas UMET in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belgrano Zarate a 28% chance, the draw 37% and Barrancas UMET 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Belgrano Zarate and 0.7 for Barrancas UMET (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belgrano Zarate are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Barrancas UMET.