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Komárno vs Dunajska Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 17:00

Komárno

PPG 0.98 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dunajska Streda

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-113.0%0-28.5%0-33.7%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.9%2-16.5%2-24.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.6%3-12.2%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 31.7% 3.15 -4.6%

Draw 31.3% 30.8% 3.25 +1.7%

Away win 39.5% 46.3% 2.16 -14.7%

Over 2.5 44.3% 50.0% 2.00 -11.4%

Over 3.5 26.0% 28.2% 3.55 -4.6%

BTTS 47.7% 57.1% 1.75 -16.5%

Home O1.5 30.2% 34.7% 2.88 -13.0%

Away O1.5 41.9% 45.5% 2.20 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 19.0%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.7%

A 40% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 13.0%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komárno1.0

Dunajska Streda1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMÁRNO · PPG 0.98

DUNAJSKA STREDA · PPG 1.45

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.32, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Komárno (H) 29.3%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -4.6%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +1.7%

Dunajska Streda (A) 39.5%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Komárno face Dunajska Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komárno a 29% chance, the draw 31% and Dunajska Streda 40%, so Dunajska Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Komárno and 1.3 for Dunajska Streda (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komárno are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 1.45 for Dunajska Streda. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +0.5%.

Komárno vs Dunajska Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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