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Slovan Bratislava vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:00

Slovan Bratislava

PPG 1.99 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ružomberok

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.0%1-17.3%1-22.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-19.1%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.2%3-17.5%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-18.4%4+-23.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% 75.2% 1.33 -14.3%

Draw 21.1% 21.5% 4.65 -1.1%

Away win 14.5% 12.7% 7.90 +8.7%

Over 2.5 57.9% 63.7% 1.57 -9.1%

Over 3.5 36.5% 41.7% 2.40 -12.4%

BTTS 49.2% 55.6% 1.80 -11.4%

Home O1.5 63.3% 71.4% 1.40 -11.4%

Away O1.5 17.2% 23.1% 4.33 -15.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 19.0%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 64% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 58% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.4%

#2 3–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Bratislava2.5

Ružomberok0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.99

RUŽOMBEROK · PPG 0.95

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.74 for Home, form 1.99 vs 0.95 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Bratislava (H) 64.4%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -14.3%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV -1.1%

Ružomberok (A) 14.5%

ODDS 7.90 · IMPLIED 12.7% EV +8.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Bratislava face Ružomberok in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Ružomberok 14%, so Slovan Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Slovan Bratislava and 0.7 for Ružomberok (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Bratislava are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 0.95 for Ružomberok. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +2.4%.

Slovan Bratislava vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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