Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Ružomberok vs Podbrezová

Ružomberok vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Ružomberok

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Podbrezová

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-18.3%0-25.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.0%1-112.2%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.0%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.6%3-14.4%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 38.2% 2.62 +19.5%

Draw 27.3% 30.3% 3.30 -5.9%

Away win 27.1% 40.3% 2.48 -19.7%

Over 2.5 50.3% 57.8% 1.73 -13.0%

Over 3.5 29.1% 36.4% 2.75 -12.0%

BTTS 53.1% 65.4% 1.53 -18.8%

Home O1.5 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Away O1.5 35.7% 46.5% 2.15 -23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 19.0%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ružomberok1.5

Podbrezová1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RUŽOMBEROK · PPG 1.25

PODBREZOVÁ · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ružomberok (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +19.5%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.9%

Podbrezová (A) 27.1%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -19.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ružomberok face Podbrezová in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ružomberok a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Podbrezová 27%, so Ružomberok are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ružomberok and 1.2 for Podbrezová (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ružomberok are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Podbrezová. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 1-4.

Ružomberok vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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