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Zemplín Michalovce vs Komárno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Zemplín Michalovce

PPG 1.10 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Komárno

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-112.0%0-26.6%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.8%2-17.5%2-24.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.5%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 41.3% 2.42 -11.2%

Draw 33.6% 29.9% 3.35 +12.6%

Away win 29.7% 38.2% 2.62 -13.3%

Over 2.5 44.0% 57.8% 1.73 -23.9%

Over 3.5 22.0% 36.4% 2.75 -23.7%

BTTS 48.4% 64.5% 1.55 -25.0%

Home O1.5 32.1% 47.6% 2.10 -32.6%

Away O1.5 35.4% 44.4% 2.25 -20.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 19.0%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.4%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.4%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 12.2%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zemplín Michalovce1.1

Komárno1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.10

KOMÁRNO · PPG 1.13

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 2.22 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zemplín Michalovce (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.42 · IMPLIED 41.3% EV -11.2%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +12.6%

Komárno (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -13.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zemplín Michalovce face Komárno in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zemplín Michalovce a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Komárno 30%, so Zemplín Michalovce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.1 for Komárno (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zemplín Michalovce are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.13 for Komárno. This match finished 1-1.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Komárno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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