Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Vålerenga II vs IF Ready

Vålerenga II vs IF Ready Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 17:00

Vålerenga II logo
Vålerenga II
PPG 2.14 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
IF Ready logo
IF Ready
PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.3%0-24.1%0-33.4%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.4%1-16.1%1-27.5%1-36.2%1-4+7.0%2 2-02.2%2-15.6%2-26.9%2-35.7%2-4+6.4%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.3%3-33.5%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.4%4+-23.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.7%
Draw 21.3%
Away win 44.0%
Over 2.5 71.6%
Over 3.5 51.7%
BTTS 69.4%
Home O1.5 54.4%
Away O1.5 64.9%

League track record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5 83%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 42%
ROI -35.5%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob69.4%

A 44% / xG 1.8-2.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.5%
#2 1–1 6.1%
#3 2–2 6.9%
#4 1–3 6.2%
#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vålerenga II1.8
IF Ready2.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VÅLERENGA II · PPG 2.14

IF READY · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.64 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vålerenga II (H) 34.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
IF Ready (A) 44.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vålerenga II face IF Ready in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vålerenga II a 35% chance, the draw 21% and IF Ready 44%, so IF Ready are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vålerenga II and 2.5 for IF Ready (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vålerenga II are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.71 for IF Ready.

PredictVantage

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