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IF Ready vs Heming Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

IF Ready

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Heming

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.2%0-23.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.5%1-18.6%1-26.8%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.8%3-16.0%3-24.7%3-32.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.9%4+-23.9%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% 41.7% 2.40 +17.6%

Draw 22.2% 23.1% 4.33 -2.3%

Away win 28.8% 47.6% 2.10 -23.7%

Over 2.5 67.2% 76.9% 1.30 -12.6%

Over 3.5 44.0% 58.1% 1.72 -24.3%

BTTS 64.3% 80.0% 1.25 -19.6%

Home O1.5 58.2% 59.5% 1.68 -2.2%

Away O1.5 48.2% 65.4% 1.53 -26.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob64.3%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Ready2.0

Heming1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IF READY · PPG 2.00

HEMING · PPG 1.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IF Ready (H) 49.0%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +17.6%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -2.3%

Heming (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Ready face Heming in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Ready a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Heming 29%, so IF Ready are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for IF Ready and 1.6 for Heming (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Ready are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Heming. This match finished 1-1.

IF Ready vs Heming Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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