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Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Regular Season - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Wolfsberger AC

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austria Vienna

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.7%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.8%1-111.9%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.2%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.9%3-14.7%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 43.5% 2.30 +7.0%

Draw 25.0% 29.0% 3.45 -8.3%

Away win 28.6% 34.7% 2.88 -10.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 54.6% 1.83 -2.3%

Over 3.5 32.2% 32.3% 3.10 -0.2%

BTTS 55.4% 61.7% 1.62 -10.3%

Home O1.5 45.4% 46.5% 2.15 -2.4%

Away O1.5 36.5% 40.8% 2.45 -10.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolfsberger AC1.5

Austria Vienna1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLFSBERGER AC · PPG 1.50

AUSTRIA VIENNA · PPG 1.58

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wolfsberger AC (H) 46.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +7.0%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.3%

Austria Vienna (A) 28.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolfsberger AC face Austria Vienna in Austria - Bundesliga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolfsberger AC a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Austria Vienna 29%, so Wolfsberger AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.2 for Austria Vienna (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolfsberger AC are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.58 for Austria Vienna. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.8%.

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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