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Dinamo Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Minsk

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Torpedo Zhodino

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-19.9%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.5%1-112.9%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.4%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 68.5% 1.46 -42.0%

Draw 26.9% 20.8% 4.80 +17.5%

Away win 33.4% 18.1% 5.53 +84.7%

Over 2.5 49.9% 69.0% 1.45 -27.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 48.8% 2.05 -24.7%

BTTS 53.1% 64.5% 1.55 -17.7%

Home O1.5 37.9% 69.9% 1.43 -45.8%

Away O1.5 34.7% 30.8% 3.25 +12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -43.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Minsk1.3

Torpedo Zhodino1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO MINSK · PPG 1.83

TORPEDO ZHODINO · PPG 1.83

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Minsk (H) 39.7%

ODDS 1.46 · IMPLIED 68.5% EV -42.0%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +17.5%

Torpedo Zhodino (A) 33.4%

ODDS 5.53 · IMPLIED 18.1% EV +84.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Minsk face Torpedo Zhodino in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Minsk a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Torpedo Zhodino 33%, so Dinamo Minsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dinamo Minsk and 1.1 for Torpedo Zhodino (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Minsk are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.83 for Torpedo Zhodino. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +12.8%.

Dinamo Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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