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Botafogo W vs São Paulo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

Botafogo W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Paulo W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.36 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-115.0%0-214.7%0-39.7%0-4+7.5%1 1-04.6%1-19.1%1-29.0%1-35.9%1-4+4.5%2 2-01.4%2-12.8%2-22.7%2-31.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 65.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -56.5%

Bet Hit 23%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob47.7%

A 66% / xG 0.6-2.0 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.7%

#2 0–1 15.0%

#3 1–1 9.1%

#4 0–3 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo W0.6

São Paulo W2.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.71

SÃO PAULO W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.36 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo W (H) 13.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Paulo W (A) 65.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo W face São Paulo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and São Paulo W 66%, so São Paulo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Botafogo W and 2.0 for São Paulo W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 2.00 for São Paulo W.

Botafogo W vs São Paulo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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