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Yaracuyanos FC vs Real Frontera Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 20:00

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Real Frontera

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-14.2%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.1%1-18.9%1-23.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.9%2-19.5%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.1%3-16.8%3-22.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-15.9%4+-22.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.0% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.6%

H 63% / xG 2.1-0.7 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 1–1 8.9%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yaracuyanos FC2.1

Real Frontera0.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 1.78

REAL FRONTERA · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Yaracuyanos FC (H) 63.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Frontera (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yaracuyanos FC face Real Frontera in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yaracuyanos FC a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Real Frontera 16%, so Yaracuyanos FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Yaracuyanos FC and 0.7 for Real Frontera (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yaracuyanos FC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.33 for Real Frontera. This match finished 2-0.

Yaracuyanos FC vs Real Frontera Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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