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Union Cocle vs San Francisco FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 21:00

Union Cocle

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Francisco FC

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-19.6%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.6%1-112.6%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.2%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.6%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 37.7% 2.65 +31.2%

Draw 27.1% 34.5% 2.90 -12.8%

Away win 23.4% 36.8% 2.72 -21.8%

Over 2.5 44.1% 38.5% 2.60 +14.7%

Over 3.5 23.3% 19.0% 5.25 +13.4%

BTTS 48.7% 48.8% 2.05 -0.2%

Home O1.5 38.3% 32.3% 3.10 +18.7%

Away O1.5 20.3% 31.3% 3.20 -21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.6%

#2 0–0 12.8%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Cocle1.3

San Francisco FC0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION COCLE · PPG 1.56

SAN FRANCISCO FC · PPG 1.33

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Union Cocle (H) 49.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +31.2%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -12.8%

San Francisco FC (A) 23.4%

ODDS 2.72 · IMPLIED 36.8% EV -21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Cocle face San Francisco FC in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Cocle a 50% chance, the draw 27% and San Francisco FC 23%, so Union Cocle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Union Cocle and 0.8 for San Francisco FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Cocle are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.33 for San Francisco FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +25.8%.

Union Cocle vs San Francisco FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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