Today / Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol / Plaza Amador vs Tauro FC

Plaza Amador vs Tauro FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 23:15

Plaza Amador

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tauro FC

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a clear edge.

+15.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-15.2%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.1%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-110.0%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.5%3-16.5%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.0%4+-22.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.5% 54.9% 1.82 +2.8%

Draw 22.3% 28.6% 3.50 -13.2%

Away win 21.1% 25.3% 3.95 -10.0%

Over 2.5 62.6% 54.1% 1.85 +15.8%

Over 3.5 39.3% 31.3% 3.20 +25.8%

BTTS 59.9% 57.8% 1.73 +3.6%

Home O1.5 55.4% 54.1% 1.85 +2.5%

Away O1.5 31.1% 31.3% 3.20 -0.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 66.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.9%

H 56% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 10.0%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plaza Amador2.0

Tauro FC1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PLAZA AMADOR · PPG 2.00

TAURO FC · PPG 1.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Plaza Amador (H) 56.5%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV +2.8%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.2%

Tauro FC (A) 21.1%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Plaza Amador face Tauro FC in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plaza Amador a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Tauro FC 21%, so Plaza Amador are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Plaza Amador and 1.0 for Tauro FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plaza Amador are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Tauro FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +25.8%. This match finished 3-2.

Plaza Amador vs Tauro FC Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

More Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol Predictions